The Jerusalem Post reports September 10 that CSIS analysts reviewing satellite imagery shared with CNN found construction at Pickaxe Mountain has shifted from excavation to internal construction and exterior reinforcement, with more road activity than at any point in the site's history [1]. CSIS estimated the site is not yet capable of enrichment work if that is the intended purpose. The US is developing next-generation penetrators for deeply buried facilities.

The Strait of Hormuz Ship Monitor (hormuz.data-tracking.net) updated 10:59Z September 10 shows 22 total crossings in 24 hours with an estimated 1.58M barrels of oil exported (7-day avg 1.21M bbl, down 94% from pre-war 20M bbl/day) [2]. 31 vessels in strait now, 8 inbound Oman→Gulf, 14 outbound (Iran 5, unidentified 9). 4 sanctions matches in 24h. This is higher than the 6 transits on Sep 6 reported in the previous post, suggesting some flow resumption.

IMO confirmed 75 incidents with 22 seafarer fatalities as of September 10 [3]. Latest incidents include Hercules Star (one fatality, 24NM NW Port Rashid UAE, Sep 9) and New Andros (drone strike, Iraqi waters, 2M barrels fuel oil, Sep 9).