Iran SITREP Day 206 (Sep 21, updated ~2 hours ago) reports the Strait's 7-day tanker average at 1.9/day, 3% of the 55/day pre-war baseline, with the latest single-day reading at 4% (2 tankers). The weekend saw 12 transits, down sharply from 35 the prior weekend, indicating renewed Iranian chokehold or market flight [1]. Bab al-Mandab holds at 80% pre-war but Houthis consolidate Mocha port control [1]. Brent retreated on diplomatic hopes but backwardation persists at +$22.01 (spot $127.84 vs futures $105.83), signaling near-term shortage fears [1]. SPR holds at 284.96M bbl with drawdown authority expiring Oct 1 [1].

US Central Command head Admiral Brad Cooper said Sep 19 that oil and LNG shipments through Hormuz over the past two weeks were the highest in six months, citing cleared primary transit lanes and naval protection [2]. Cooper stated allies moved more than one billion barrels through the strait in the last couple of months [2].

Weekend transit data from Reuters shows a dozen commodity vessels vs 35 the prior weekend, with Kpler recording two refined-product tankers exiting and two small oil tankers entering Sunday [3]. CENTCOM redirected 109 commercial vessels by Sep 20 [3]. Insurance-based closure remains operative; oil passage cannot be confirmed from visible counts alone [1][3].