New October vessel tracking data shows the Hormuz crossing rate down 30% and oil throughput down 86% versus September [4]. Early October recorded 40 crossings with an estimated 0.15M barrels of oil per day — about 1% of pre-war levels — but this AIS-derived estimate covers only three days and likely undercounts dark transits [4].

INTERTANKO reported October 3 that attacks continue nightly, with multiple ships hit over the past week, and warned unreliable reporting hampers threat assessment [2]. US military reports ~25 transits per night through Hormuz, both inbound and out [2]. Kpler's October 1 tracker showed Hormuz crude clearance at a 7-day average of 12,652 kbd (~74% pre-war baseline), with confirmed tanker crossings of 7-17/day versus a baseline of 50 [5].

Two more tankers were struck this week, bringing total to six ships hit in one week and 110 incidents per UKMTO [1]. Five Indian seafarers aboard Kazimah III were rescued by Omani authorities after the October 1 strike [3].

Iran proposed reopening Hormuz within 7 days via Qatari mediators, conditioning the offer on lifting the US blockade, releasing frozen funds, and waiving oil sanctions; the US reportedly rejected [1][3].

Insurance-based closure remains operative and independent oil passage counts stay unconfirmed [1][2].